Main Article Content

Abstract

Economic growth is the main indicator of the success of a region's development. This study aims to analyze the effect of fiscal decentralization, investment, labor, and the Human Development Index (HDI) on economic growth in Indonesia. Fiscal decentralization is measured through the General Allocation Fund (DAU), Revenue Sharing Fund (DBH), and Special Allocation Fund (DAK), while investment is represented by Domestic Direct Investment (PMDN) and Foreign Direct Investment (PMA). The labor factor is measured based on the number of workers employed, while the HDI is used as an indicator of human resource quality. This study uses a quantitative approach, employing panel data regression with the Ordinary Least Squares method. Data were collected from 34 provinces in Indonesia from 2014 to 2023. The results of the study show that DAU, DBH, and DAK have a positive and significant effect on economic growth, indicating that fiscal transfers from the central government to the regions can encourage economic activity at the regional level. In addition, PMDN and PMA also have a significant positive impact on economic growth. However, labor does not show a significant effect on economic growth, indicating that the increase in the number of workers has not been accompanied by an increase in skills and work productivity. Meanwhile, the HDI has a positive and significant effect, confirming that improving the quality of education and health plays an important role in increasing labor productivity and economic growth. These findings emphasize the importance of optimizing fiscal policy, increasing the effectiveness of regional fund allocation, and workforce development and human development strategies to support sustainable economic growth in Indonesia.

Keywords

Economic growth Fiscal decentralization Investment Labor force Human Development Index

Article Details

How to Cite
Maulana, H., Syahnur, S., & Abrar, M. (2025). Economic Growth in Indonesia: The Influence of Fiscal Decentralization, Investment, Labor, and Human Development Index. Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies, 2(2), 126–139. https://doi.org/10.61975/gjbes.v2i2.75

References

  1. Husna PA, Nasir M. The Role of Corruption, FDI, and Unemployment in ASEAN-5 Economic Growth. Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies 2024;1:75–85. https://doi.org/10.61975/gjbes.v1i2.28.
  2. Schumpeter JA. The Theory of Economic Development. Routledge; 2021. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003146766.
  3. Cevik S. Is Schumpeter Right? Fintech and Economic Growth. Economics of Innovation and New Technology 2024:1–12. https://doi.org/10.1080/10438599.2024.2413478.
  4. Bakari S, Tiba S. Determinants of Economic Growth: The Case of The United States of America. Journal of Developing Economies 2022;7:29–44. https://doi.org/10.20473/jde.v7i1.34414.
  5. Nasir MS, Wibowo AR, Yansyah D. The Determinants of Economic Growth: Empirical Study of 10 Asia-Pacific Countries. Signifikan: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi 2021;10:149–60.
  6. Appiah M, Amoasi R, Frowne DI. Human Development and Its Effects on Economic Growth and Development. International Research Journal of Business Studies 2019;12:101–9. https://doi.org/10.21632/irjbs.12.2.101-109.
  7. Fadilla SI, Zumaeroh Z, Kencana H, Retnowati D, Purnomo SD, Winarto H, et al. Desentralisasi Fiskal dan Investasi terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Kawasan Timur Indonesia. Proceeding Midyear Int. Conf., vol. 1, 2022.
  8. Sulaeman AS, Silvia V. Pendapatan Asli Daerah, Transfer Daerah, Dan Belanja Modal, Pengaruhnya Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Regional Di Indonesia. Jurnal Aplikasi Akuntansi 2019;4:97–112. https://doi.org/10.29303/jaa.v4i1.61.
  9. Abrar M, Juanda B, Muhammad F, Hakim DB. The Effect of Special Autonomy Funds on Economic Growth and Income Inequality in Aceh Province. Journal of Applied Economic Sciences 2018;13.
  10. Junaidi J, Silvia V, Abrar M. The Effect of Incremental Capital Output Ratio (ICOR), Labor Force Participation Rate (TPAK) and Index Human Development (IPM) against Economic Growth in Indonesia. International Journal of Social Science and Human Research 2023;6.
  11. Sima M, Liang P, Qingjie Z. The Impact of Fiscal Decentralization on Economic Growth: A Comparative Analysis of Selected African and OECD Countries. Heliyon 2023;9:e19520. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19520.
  12. BPS. Provider of Quality Statistical Data For Advanced Indonesia 2024. https://www.bps.go.id/en.
  13. Sohail S, Ullah S, Javid AY. Fiscal Decentralization, Institutional Quality, and Government Size: An Asymmetry Analysis for Asian Economies. Transnational Corporations Review 2022;14:256–70. https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2021.1956855.
  14. Abrar M, Juanda B, Firdaus M, Hakim DB. The Impact of Special Autonomy Funds on Poverty of Human Development and Unemployment in Aceh. International Journal of Innovation, Creativity and Change 2020;12:713–34.
  15. Yakita S. Fiscal Decentralization, Migration and Economic Growth. Regional Science Policy & Practice 2011;3:381–99. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1757-7802.2011.01049.x.
  16. Wang Y, Shen W, Xu J. Fiscal Decentralization and the Transformation of Regional Energy Structures in China: Spatial Spillover Effects and the Mediating Role of Technological Innovation. Heliyon 2024;10:e36667. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e36667.
  17. Dahliah D, Nirwana Nur A. The Influence of Unemployment, Human Development Index and Gross Domestic Product on Poverty level. Golden Ratio of Social Science and Education 2021;1:95–108. https://doi.org/10.52970/grsse.v1i2.84.
  18. Sasmita NR, Phonna RA, Fikri MK, Khairul M, Apriliansyah F, Idroes GM, et al. Statistical Assessment of Human Development Index Variations and Their Correlates: A Case Study of Aceh Province, Indonesia. Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies 2023;1:12–24. https://doi.org/10.61975/gjbes.v1i1.14.
  19. Romer PM. The Origins of Endogenous Growth. Journal of Economic Perspectives 1994;8:3–22. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.8.1.3.
  20. Uzuegbunam I, Liao Y-C, Pittaway L, Jolley GJ. Human Capital, Intellectual Capital, and Government Venture Capital. Journal of Entrepreneurship and Public Policy 2017;6:359–74. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEPP-D-17-00008.
  21. Hardi I, Ray S, Attari MUQ, Ali N, Idroes GM. Innovation and Economic Growth in the Top Five Southeast Asian Economies: A Decomposition Analysis. Ekonomikalia Journal of Economics 2024;2:1–14. https://doi.org/10.60084/eje.v2i1.145.
  22. Idroes GM, Hardi I, Hilal IS, Utami RT, Noviandy TR, Idroes R. Economic Growth and Environmental Impact: Assessing the Role of Geothermal Energy in Developing and Developed Countries. Innovation and Green Development 2024;3:100144. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.igd.2024.100144.
  23. Praktino P. Intelektual Jalan Ketiga: Mempertimbangkan pemikiran Cornelis Lay tentang Demokrasi, Desentralisasi, Nasionalisme, & Reformasi Keamanan 2019.
  24. Yulianti R, Syahnur S, Abrar M, Srinita S. The Effect of Special Autonomy Fund Allocation for Education and Health on Human Development in Aceh Province, Indonesia. Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies 2024;1:96–106. https://doi.org/10.61975/gjbes.v1i2.36.
  25. Irwandi H, Jamal A, Nasir M. How Investment Mediates Infrastructure Effect on Economic Growth in Indonesia. Grimsa Journal of Business and Economics Studies 2025;2:89–103. https://doi.org/10.61975/gjbes.v2i2.59.
  26. Gujarati DN. Basic Econometrics 5th ed. New York: McGraw–Hil; 2008.
  27. Hardi I, Idroes GM, Márquez-Ramos L, Noviandy TR, Idroes R. Inclusive Innovation and Green Growth in Advanced Economies. Sustainable Futures 2025;9:100540. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100540.
  28. Sahputra K, Syahnur S, Silvia V. The Role of Economic Growth in Moderating the Impact of Energy Consumption on Carbon Emissions in ASEAN-5. Ekonomikalia Journal of Economics 2025;3:1–14. https://doi.org/10.60084/eje.v3i1.242.
  29. Hardi I, Idroes GM, Hamaguchi Y, Can M, Noviandy TR, Idroes R. Business Confidence in the Shift to Renewable Energy: A Country-Specific Assessment in Major Asian Economies. Journal of Economy and Technology 2025;3:44–68. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ject.2024.08.002.
  30. Bai J. Panel Data Models With Interactive Fixed Effects. Econometrica 2009;77:1229–79. https://doi.org/10.3982/ECTA6135.
  31. Baltagi BH, Feng Q, Kao C. A Lagrange Multiplier Test for Cross-Sectional Dependence in a Fixed Effects Panel Data Model. Journal of Econometrics 2012;170:164–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.04.004.
  32. Sherly Helma Putri, Helma. Factors Affecting Economic Growth in West Sumatera Province Using Panel Data Regression Analysis. Mathematical Journal of Modelling and Forecasting 2023;1:44–53. https://doi.org/10.24036/mjmf.v1i2.17.
  33. Ratnasari V, Audha SH, Dani ATR. Statistical Modeling to Analyze Factors Affecting the Middle-Income Trap in Indonesia Using Panel Data Regression. MethodsX 2023;11:102379. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mex.2023.102379.
  34. Chadiza N, Syahnur S. Flypaper Effect Belanja Daerah Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten/Kota Di Provinsi Aceh. Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan 2022;7:35–44.
  35. Yushkov A. Fiscal Decentralization and Regional Economic Growth: Theory, Empirics, and the Russian Experience. Russian Journal of Economics 2015;1:404–18. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ruje.2016.02.004.
  36. Mokorowu LA, Rotinsulu DC, Engka DSM. Pengaruh Pendapatan Asli daerah (PAD), Dana Bagi Hasil (DBH), Dana Alokasi Umum (DAU), dan Dana Alokasi Khusus (DAK) Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten Minahasa Tenggara. Jurnal Pembangunan Ekonomi Dan Keuangan Daerah 2020;21.
  37. Auriol E, Dahmani-Scuitti A. Decentralization in Autocraties. European Economic Review 2025;172:104930. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.euroecorev.2024.104930.
  38. Widianto A, Sedyautami EU, Nurmansyah AL. Pengaruh Dana Alokasi Umum, Dana Alokasi Khusus, dan Belanja Modal terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Tingkat Kemiskinan (Studi Kasus Pada Kota Tegal). Monex: Journal of Accounting Research 2016;5.
  39. Arbila N, Rizal Y, Iskandar I. Pengaruh Pendapatan Asli Daerah Dan Dana Alokasi Umum Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Kabupaten Labuhan Batu. OPTIMAL Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Manajemen 2022;2:240–9. https://doi.org/10.55606/optimal.v2i4.741.
  40. Tafese T, Lay J, Tran V. From Fields to Factories: Special Economic Zones, Foreign Direct Investment, and Labour Markets in Vietnam. Journal of Development Economics 2025;174:103467. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103467.
  41. Shabbir MS, Bashir M, Abbasi HM, Yahya G, Abbasi BA. Effect of Domestic and Foreign Private Investment on Economic Growth of Pakistan. Transnational Corporations Review 2021;13:437–49. https://doi.org/10.1080/19186444.2020.1858676.
  42. Omri A, Kahouli B. The Nexus among Foreign Investment, Domestic Capital and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from the MENA Region. Research in Economics 2014;68:257–63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rie.2013.11.001.
  43. Elmariska Y, Syahnur S. Pengaruh Aglomerasi, Investasi, Dan Human Capital Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa Ekonomi Pembangunan 2020;5:184–92.
  44. Kambono H, Marpaung EI. Pengaruh Investasi Asing Dan Investasi Dalam Negeri Terhadap Perekonomian Indonesia. Jurnal Akuntansi 2020;12:137–45.
  45. Siripi H, Kuuwill A, Tamakloe M-D. Economic Growth and Environmental Sustainability: The Role of Foreign Direct Investment and Technological Innovation on Carbon Emissions in Ghana. Research in Globalization 2024;9:100260. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100260.
  46. Hornstein AS. Economic Growth and Foreign Direct Investment in Asia: When Investors Imperfectly Fulfil Approved Investment Plans. Asia and the Global Economy 2024;4:100093. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aglobe.2024.100093.
  47. Bimantoro F. Pengaruh Penanaman Modal Asing Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia. Media Ekonomi 2016;24:63–74.
  48. Immurana M, Abdullahi I, Kisseih KG, Azuug M, Mohammed A, Kofi Boachie M, et al. Interaction Effects of Mental Health Disorders and Labour Productivity on Economic Growth in Africa. Global Transitions 2024;6:221–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.glt.2024.09.002.
  49. Rahman AJ, Soelistyo A, Hadi S. Pengaruh Investasi, Pengeluaran Pemerintah Dan Tenaga Kerja Terhadap PDRB Kabupaten/Kota Di Propinsi Banten Tahun 2010–2014. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan 2016;14:112–21.
  50. Safira E, Syechalad MN, Asmawati A, Murlida E. Pengaruh PMDN, PMA, Tenaga Kerja Dan Luas Lahan Sektor Pertanian Terhadap Produk Domestik Regional Bruto (PDRB) Sektor Pertanian Di Provinsi Aceh. Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam 2018;4:109–17.
  51. Stevy Sama JM, Sapnken FE, Mfetoum IM, Tamba JG. The Nexus between Crude Oil Production, Human Development and Economic Growth in Cameroon (1977–2019). Energy Strategy Reviews 2024;52:101341. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2024.101341.
  52. Maulana L, Manulang IBG, Pitaloka NA, Putri TA, Maulidina T, Desmawan D. Pengaruh Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Provinsi Bali Tahun 2018–2022. Populer: Jurnal Penelitian Mahasiswa 2023;2:265–76.
  53. Sari SD, Setyowati E. Analysis of Unemployment, Capita Income, and HDI on Economic Growth on Indonesia, 2017-2020. Procedia of Social Sciences and Humanities 2022;3:8–18.